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2476 markets

Geopolitics

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

3%
$10.9M Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?

3%
$2.8M Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Geopolitics

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

7%
$2.1M Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Crypto

$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?

50%
$1.7M Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
Geopolitics

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

1%
$1.3M Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva24%
Flávio Bolsonaro77%
$1.2M Vol.•Oct 26, 2026

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

OOctober 3177%
NNovember 3037%
6 more
$1.2M Vol.•Oct 31, 2026

Trump renames AI by...?

September 3050%
December 31100%
1 more
$977.9K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
Tech

Satoshi's identity be proven by...?

2%
$938.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

September 30, 202650%
December 31, 202650%
2 more
$757.6K Vol.•Jun 23, 2027

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen46%
Jordan Bardella1%
6 more
$679.0K Vol.•Apr 19, 2027

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

December 3134%
October 315%
2 more
$547.5K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
Geopolitics

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

5%
$535.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Crypto

SBF released from custody in 2026?

2%
$468.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Geopolitics

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

3%
$449.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Geopolitics

Will Venezuela become 51st state?

2%
$397.8K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep63%
D Senate, R House1%
3 more
$351.9K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026
Politics

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

5%
$342.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Geopolitics

Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?

2%
$337.5K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Trump x Greenland deal signed by...?

September 23100%
September 25100%
1 more
$335.2K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
Geopolitics

India strike on Pakistan by...?

11%
$333.6K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Geopolitics

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

17%
$327.3K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?

September 30100%
October 31100%
3 more
$324.0K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+3%
Flávio Bolsonaro 8-12%11%
6 more
$305.5K Vol.•Oct 26, 2026

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party91%
Republican Party10%
$299.7K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026
Geopolitics

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?

5%
$295.5K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Geopolitics

NATO article 5 before 2027?

5%
$283.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Geopolitics

UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

11%
$281.5K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Donald Trump2%
J.D. Vance47%
6 more
$280.6K Vol.•Nov 8, 2028

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Benjamin Netanyahu31%
Naftali Bennett14%
6 more
$275.8K Vol.•Oct 28, 2026

Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?

December 31, 20269%
March 31, 202714%
$275.4K Vol.•Apr 1, 2027
Geopolitics

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

5%
$273.6K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Geopolitics

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

2%
$255.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Geopolitics

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

4%
$248.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party65%
Republican Party37%
$242.0K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026
Geopolitics

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

5%
$231.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

December 311%
June 30, 20279%
$225.5K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

3%
$223.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Geopolitics

China x India military clash by...?

6%
$222.3K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Elon Musk # tweets October 15 - October 17, 2026?

40-640%
65-891%
6 more
$218.7K Vol.•Oct 17, 2026

Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?

120-1390%
160-1790%
6 more
$214.6K Vol.•Oct 20, 2026

Will $LAPTOP flip $TRUMP by ___?

December 31, 2026100%
June 30, 2027100%
1 more
$213.9K Vol.•Jan 1, 2028
Geopolitics

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

2%
$195.4K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Geopolitics

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

4%
$186.4K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Finance

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

10%
$182.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Geopolitics

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

3%
$180.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Donald Trump50%
Pope Leo XIV0%
6 more
$176.7K Vol.•Apr 1, 2027
Culture

James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

1%
$173.6K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027