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Politics

Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?

3%
$2.8M Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Fed Decision in October?

550+ bps decrease0%
225 bps decrease0%
3 more
$2.5M Vol.•Oct 29, 2026
Science

Human moon landing in 2026?

2%
$2.0M Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Crypto

$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?

50%
$1.7M Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
Geopolitics

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

1%
$1.3M Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

OOctober 3177%
NNovember 3038%
6 more
$1.2M Vol.•Oct 31, 2026

Trump renames AI by...?

September 3050%
December 31100%
1 more
$977.9K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva23%
Flávio Bolsonaro77%
$970.2K Vol.•Oct 26, 2026
Culture

Satoshi's identity be proven by...?

2%
$938.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

OpenAI’s Astra released by…?

September 3050%
October 31100%
6 more
$915.8K Vol.•Oct 31, 2026

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Donald Trump2%
J.D. Vance47%
6 more
$786.3K Vol.•Nov 8, 2028

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

September 30, 202650%
December 31, 202650%
2 more
$757.6K Vol.•Jun 23, 2027

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Kylian Mbappé4%
Erling Haaland0%
6 more
$655.1K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
Crypto

Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?

3%
$602.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Science

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

3%
$595.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen46%
Jordan Bardella1%
6 more
$594.9K Vol.•Apr 19, 2027

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 3184%
December 3145%
4 more
$554.6K Vol.•Dec 31, 2026
Geopolitics

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

4%
$535.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

PParis Saint-Germain16%
AAston Villa1%
6 more
$505.8K Vol.•Jun 20, 2027

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

033%
149%
4 more
$500.9K Vol.•Apr 1, 2027

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

December 3134%
October 316%
2 more
$490.2K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
Culture

SBF released from custody in 2026?

2%
$468.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Geopolitics

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

3%
$449.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Geopolitics

Will Russia capture Sumy by...?

5%
$449.2K Vol.•Ends Apr 1, 2027

What price will Bitcoin hit on October 16?

↑ 90,0000%
↑ 89,0000%
6 more
$417.5K Vol.•Oct 17, 2026
Geopolitics

Will Venezuela become 51st state?

2%
$397.8K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep63%
D Senate, R House1%
3 more
$359.1K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026
Geopolitics

UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

6%
$355.2K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
Weather

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

9%
$350.6K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Bitcoin above ___ on October 17?

74,000100%
76,000100%
6 more
$345.9K Vol.•Oct 17, 2026
Politics

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

5%
$342.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

↑ 150,0000%
↑ 105,0001%
6 more
$341.4K Vol.•Nov 1, 2026
Economy

Fed rate hike in 2026?

99%
$338.5K Vol.•Ends Dec 9, 2026
Geopolitics

Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?

2%
$337.5K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Benjamin Netanyahu30%
Naftali Bennett14%
6 more
$337.5K Vol.•Oct 28, 2026
Business

Will MicroStrategy announce holding ___ BTC by December 31, 2026?

4%
$335.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Trump x Greenland deal signed by...?

September 23100%
September 25100%
1 more
$335.2K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
Geopolitics

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

16%
$334.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Geopolitics

India strike on Pakistan by...?

11%
$333.6K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

856%
933%
6 more
$327.6K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?

September 30100%
October 31100%
3 more
$324.0K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+3%
Flávio Bolsonaro 8-12%9%
6 more
$323.8K Vol.•Oct 26, 2026
Weather

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

20%
$314.9K Vol.•Ends Mar 1, 2027
Sports

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

0%
$308.3K Vol.•Ends Nov 1, 2026

Fed rate hike by...?

September Meeting100%
October Meeting50%
$307.0K Vol.•Oct 29, 2026

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

September 30, 2026100%
October 31, 2026100%
$306.1K Vol.•Nov 1, 2026
Geopolitics

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?

5%
$295.5K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Crypto

Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?

10%
$285.4K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027