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435 markets

Science

Human moon landing in 2026?

2%
$2.0M Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Trump renames AI by...?

September 3050%
December 31100%
1 more
$977.9K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
Culture

Satoshi's identity be proven by...?

2%
$938.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

OpenAI’s Astra released by…?

September 3050%
October 31100%
6 more
$915.8K Vol.•Oct 31, 2026
Science

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

3%
$595.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

September 30, 2026100%
October 31, 2026100%
$306.1K Vol.•Nov 1, 2026
Tech

Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

100%
$253.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Gemini 4.0 released by...?

October 3150%
November 30100%
5 more
$244.0K Vol.•Dec 1, 2026

NuScale announces bankruptcy by...?

December 31, 202711%
December 31, 202820%
1 more
$212.9K Vol.•Jan 1, 2030
Business

Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?

3%
$204.7K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

GPT-6 released by…?

September 15, 2026100%
October 31, 202650%
2 more
$137.4K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
Science

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

33%
$123.6K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
AI

Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?

4%
$107.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

How many Tesla deliveries in Q3 2026?

<375k0%
375k to 400k0%
6 more
$91.5K Vol.•Dec 1, 2026
Tech

Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?

11%
$90.4K Vol.•Ends Jul 1, 2027

Next Claude Opus released by...?

December 31100%
September 30100%
$85.4K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
Business

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

10%
$83.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

158020%
16007%
1 more
$75.8K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?

MicroStrategy3%
Beyond Meat9%
6 more
$71.5K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

660%+39%
665%+16%
2 more
$66.1K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

September 30100%
Successful splash down?100%
1 more
$64.4K Vol.•Jul 1, 2027

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

1500+100%
1505+100%
3 more
$58.7K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

Gemini Argon released on...?

October 13100%
October 1450%
6 more
$57.8K Vol.•Nov 1, 2026

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

157529%
160011%
$57.1K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

Largest Company end of October 2026?

Alphabet0%
Tesla0%
6 more
$55.4K Vol.•Nov 1, 2026

Which week will OpenAI release Astra?

August 31–September 6100%
September 7–130%
6 more
$54.5K Vol.•Nov 1, 2026

OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?

1480+0%
1490+0%
3 more
$54.3K Vol.•-

Meta's Watermelon released on...?

October 12100%
October 210%
$46.8K Vol.•Oct 31, 2026

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Anthropic28%
Meta0%
6 more
$46.6K Vol.•Oct 31, 2026
AI

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

6%
$43.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Sundar Pichai - Google5%
Dan Clancy - Twitch3%
3 more
$41.8K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by...?

October 31100%
September 30100%
5 more
$41.2K Vol.•Dec 1, 2026
AI

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

6%
$40.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Gemini Argon released by...?

October 31100%
November 30100%
2 more
$40.1K Vol.•Dec 1, 2026

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Alibaba14%
DJI11%
6 more
$34.8K Vol.•Jul 1, 2027
Business

Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?

6%
$32.5K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Business

Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?

1%
$32.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

1470+1%
1480+1%
3 more
$30.8K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
Business

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

3%
$30.6K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?

OpenAI90%
Reve0%
6 more
$29.0K Vol.•Oct 31, 2026
Tech

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

6%
$28.8K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

October 3184%
December 3198%
6 more
$27.7K Vol.•Dec 31, 2026
Tech

Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?

1%
$27.5K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

UUp90%
DDown11%
$26.0K Vol.•Jul 1, 2027

Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

OOctober 31100%
DDecember 31100%
4 more
$24.5K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

Next Mythos-Class Model: Text Arena Debut?

1470+100%
1480+100%
3 more
$24.0K Vol.•Dec 31, 2026

Next GPT Sol Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?

1450+0%
1460+0%
2 more
$23.6K Vol.•Jun 30, 2027
Tech

Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

8%
$21.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027